Lumentum
 
Buylyst Valuation
$84.2
Market Price
$74.3
Upside
-21%
 

Target Price based on these Assumptions

Sustainable Free Cash Flow
$252 Million
Long-Term Discount Rate
5%

Sustainable Free Cash Flow Calculation

Historical Numbers

Cash Flow Items ($mn) Sustainable Level
Revenue 1,936
-

Cost of goods sold

-
-

R&D and Cost of labor

-
-

Selling, general, and administrative costs

Selling & Admin. Costs

-
-

Other

-
+

Depreciation and amortization

Depreciation 

-
=

Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA)

EBITDA

387
-

Maintenance capital expenditure

Maintenance Cap-Ex

47
=

Unlevered cash flow

341
-

Increases in working capital

Increases in working cap.

0
-

Debt service charges

25
-

Cash taxes

17
=

Discretionary cash flow

298
POSSIBLY WIDENING THE MOAT:
-

Growth capital expenditure

Growth Cap-Ex

47
-

Cash spent on acquisitions

Acquisitions

0
-

Other

0
POSSIBLE SHENANIGANS:
-

Dividends

0
-

Share Buybacks

0
=

FREE CASH FLOW

252

* Click on the orange dot above to read additional notes on the items

Last 12 months ending 12/31/2018.

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