Ford Motor
 
Buylyst Valuation
$15.5
Market Price
$6.1
Upside
153%
 

Target Price based on these Assumptions

Sustainable Free Cash Flow
$3,017 Million
Long-Term Discount Rate
5%

Sustainable Free Cash Flow Calculation

Historical Numbers

Cash Flow Items ($mn) Sustainable Level
Revenue 156,776
-

Cost of goods sold

131,692
-

R&D and Cost of labor

0
-

Selling, general, and administrative costs

Selling & Admin. Costs

12,103
-

Other

9,104
+

Depreciation and amortization

Depreciation 

8,453
=

Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA)

EBITDA

12,330
-

Maintenance capital expenditure

Maintenance Cap-Ex

5,627
=

Unlevered cash flow

6,703
-

Increases in working capital

Increases in working cap.

-2,000
-

Debt service charges

1,100
-

Cash taxes

586
=

Discretionary cash flow

7,017
POSSIBLY WIDENING THE MOAT:
-

Growth capital expenditure

Growth Cap-Ex

4,000
-

Cash spent on acquisitions

Acquisitions

0
-

Other

0
POSSIBLE SHENANIGANS:
-

Dividends

2,584
-

Share Buybacks

131
=

FREE CASH FLOW

3,017

* Click on the orange dot above to read additional notes on the items

Last 12 months ending 12/31/2018.

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